Birmingham Appraisal Blog

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The Chelsea Park Clock Tower

January 25th, 2012 by Tom Horn · Photos From The Field

I like to see landmarks.  They help me locate places that I’m going to and help me know that I’m on the right track in getting to my destination.  I was in the Chelsea Park neighborhood recently on an appraisal inspection and thought I would snap a picture of the clock tower that sits at the subdivision entrance.

Chelsea Clock Tower 773x1024 The Chelsea Park Clock Tower If you think about it, landmarks like the clock tower can add character to a neighborhood and create a sense of cohesiveness within a subdivision, neighborhood, or community.  Nice landmarks can make you proud to live in an area while landmarks that are run down or not well taken care of might produce a negative connotation, which could also effect property values in a harmful way.  There really is no “adjustment” that an appraiser would make on their appraisal for such a thing, but I think that having something like this can bolster an areas desirability which could help increase property values.  How do you feel about landmarks?  Do you have any in  your area?  Do they create a positive or negative influence?  Leave me a comment below and tell me your thoughts.

If you have any real estate appraisal related questions you can call me at 205.243.9304, email me, or connect with me on Facebook., Twitter, or Youtube.

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Six years of sales activity in the Brook Highland subdivision, Shelby County, Alabama

January 23rd, 2012 by Tom Horn · Appraisal, Market Trends

100 1075 300x225 Six years of sales activity in the Brook Highland subdivision, Shelby County, AlabamaI like to share market data I get when I do appraisals in different areas.  I’ve included sales from the Brook Highland subdivision in the Inverness area of north Shelby County.  The sales are from January 2005 to December 2011.  The graph charts the median sales price for each quarter for all seven years. The first graph shows a scatter diagram of all sales in this time period.

Brook Highland sales Six years of sales activity in the Brook Highland subdivision, Shelby County, Alabama

 Sales prices range from $135,950 to $791,536.  As you can see in 2005 and 2006 there was a higher concentration of sales, which I have seen in other areas and is expected as this was before we started seeing the effects of the current housing crisis.  In the later years there is definitely more sparse sales.  In the next graph I have plotted the median sales prices for each quarter of the year.

Brook Highland median sales price trend Six years of sales activity in the Brook Highland subdivision, Shelby County, Alabama

The lowest median price is at $221,450 and the highest is at $450,000.  You can see that there were some drastic variations around the 4th quarter of 2008 (low), 2nd quarter of 2009 (high), and the 4th quarter of 2010 (low).  This could be caused by some foreclosure activity or some sales activity within homes in the lower price brackets.  Brook Highland has a variety of homes ranging from small garden homes to larger custom built homes with city and mountain views.  At the end of December 2011 there were approximately 17 homes for sales, translating to roughly 5 months worth of inventory.  This is the absorption rate and I explained how it is calculated in a previous post.  Click  here to read about it.  Do you see any other trends in these graphs?  Let me know in the comments below and if you like this post please share it with your friends.

If you have any real estate appraisal related questions you can call me at 205.243.9304, email me, or connect with me on Facebook., Twitter, or Youtube.

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Are these FHA required repairs?

January 20th, 2012 by Tom Horn · Appraisal, Appraisal Tips, Education, FAQ's, FSBO Tips, Home Improvement, Realtor Tips

I was doing some work recently for a novice property investor and he was asking me some questions about FHA required repairs.  He wanted to prepare the house he just purchased so that if the buyers were going to use FHA financing there wouldn’t be any issues at the last minute to hold up the closing.  I told him that was very insightful, especially since I’ve seen seasoned investors not even consider this and then at the last minute need to make changes or additions to the property before it would close.  By planning ahead this can save time and allow the loan to close without a hitch as well as save the buyer money in unnecessary final inspections from the appraiser.

The two items we were talking about involved vapor barrier in the crawl space and deck stair railings.  It’sunderstandable 100 1228 300x225 Are these FHA required repairs?that he was confused because these are two issues that HUD changed several years back.  Vapor barrier, or the black plastic sheets that you sometimes see in the crawlspace of homes, was once an FHA requirement.  The vapor barrier provides protection against ground moisture and the possible build up of mildew in the house.  It is now not necessary to have this.  Some people still use it, but they don’t have to, and it will not be a repair requirement in the appraisal.

The next item was stair railings.  As was the case with the vapor barrier this was a required repair.  It does not require automatic repair now unless it poses a safety hazard.  If you have stairs that are 3 or 4 risers high then it should not be an issue,  however something 8-9 high is another story.  The appraiser will report it and then lender discretion and prudent underwriting will determine if the repair is advisable.  I think FHA took a look at their requirements several years back100 0745 300x225 Are these FHA required repairs? and compared it to the requirements of other forms of financing and decided to ease the requirements a little.  They are still concerned about the three S’s: Safety, Soundness, and Security but have backed off of their very strict repair requirements.  If you’re not sure what these are and how they relate to MPR’s you can read another blog post I wrote here.

Are you an investor that has an FHA question? Are you a seller and want to know what has to be done to a house for it to qualify for FHA financing?  Please give me a call and I would be glad to talk with you about this.

If you have any real estate appraisal related questions you can call me at 205.243.9304, email me, or connect with me on Facebook., Twitter, or Youtube.

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Birmingham, AL Realtors, are you a socially savvy agent?

January 17th, 2012 by Tom Horn · marketing, Networking, Realtor Tips

Social Media Collage Birmingham, AL Realtors, are you a socially savvy agent?Do you consider yourself a socially savvy agent? Do you tweet, blog, or post videos on Youtube? Are you on LinkedIn, Facebook, or some other social network?  If you are not you may want to think about it.  In our ever changing business environment being knowledgeable and participating in the online social scene is becoming a necessity instead of an option.

In my own journey of becoming a “socially savvy” appraiser I have ready many books and attended a couple of Wordcamps (the name given to gatherings of users of the popular WordPress blogging platform) to help me hone my skills (they’re not totally honed but I’m having fun working on it).  I wanted to share with you a couple of  things today.  The first has to do with some books I have read and the other an interview I had with local social networking and blogging expert Wade Kwon at the most recent Wordcamp, which you can see below.

The first book I read, and  highly recommend, is Chris Brogan’s book “Trust Agents”.  One of the biggest things I took away from this book was that you have to set  yourself apart from your competition by becoming a “Trust Agent”, one whom everybody trusts and thinks of when they need someone in your field of work.  You do this by establishing yourself online through blogging and other social media outlets.  That is why blogging is so important.  You communicate you expertise by writing about what you do and how you can solve peoples problems.  The second book is one I am currently reading.  It is “Get Seen” by Steve Garfield and it discusses how businesses can establish a presence online through video.  I have just begun reading this book and hopefully will be able to pass on some more tips in the future, but so far he mentioned one thing that really makes sense.  By posting online videos about what you do, and how you can help others, people get to know you so that when you finally meet them in person they feel like you are an old friend and they want to do business with you.  The online video can be a catalyst to new business relationships.

Lastly I would like to share with you a video of a short interview I had with Birmingham social media expert Wade Kwon.  Wade runs the Birmingham Blogging Academy and has a lot of expertise in social media.  He shares advice on how real estate professionals such as Realtors and mortgage professionals can use social media to enhance their marketing efforts.  Let me know if you have any questions regarding social media and how you can get started.  If I can’t help you I know Wade can.

If you have any real estate appraisal related questions you can call me at 205.243.9304, email me, or connect with me on Facebook., Twitter, or Youtube.

 

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Sales activity in Montevallo, Alabama for 2011

January 13th, 2012 by Tom Horn · Market Trends, Photos From The Field

montevallo alabama Sales activity in Montevallo, Alabama for 2011I was in Montevallo, Alabama last week on an appraisal assignment and thought I would share with you the sales data I came up with.  Montevallo is in southern Shelby County and is the home of the University Of Montevallo, The American Village, and the new Alabama National Cemetery for Veterans.

The majority of sales activity in 2011 was the sale of existing homes, however there was some new construction.  The Birmingham Multiple Listing Service records indicates that only 9 new  homes were sold last year.  There are currently only 6 new homes for sale.  Overall sales activity may seem minimal but it seems to be in line with annual sales over the past 3-4 years.

Take a look at my slideshow of scenes around Montevallo, along with the sales statistics contained it it, and let me know if you have any questions, I would love to help you.

If you have any real estate appraisal related questions you can call me at 205.243.9304, email me, or connect with me on Facebook., Twitter, or Youtube.

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Birmingham, Alabama Cash Buyers: Don’t Make This Mistake

January 11th, 2012 by Tom Horn · Appraisal, Appraisal Tips

house values Birmingham, Alabama Cash Buyers: Dont Make This MistakeAfter seeing an article about how cash buyers have made a strong showing in residential real estate transactions I started wondering how many of them got appraisals on their purchases. Most of the time people think the only reason to get an appraisal is so you can borrow money from the bank. This is only part of the story though.  The other reason is that you want to make sure that the property you are buying is truly worth what you are paying, and that it is a good investment. You may be paying less because of the market we are currently in, but you still need to make sure that it is worth what you are paying.  You want to increase the chances that if you had to sell later that you could get your money back.

In the Birmingham, Alabama market cash sales made up about 10-13% of total sales from 2001-2007.  Residential sales peaked in volume around November of 2006 when 1485 homes sold, according to the Alabama Center For Real Estate. Sales then started taking a nose dive.  Right after that, the percentage of cash sales increased dramatically  to around 17% in 2007-2008 and has steadily climbed to around 32% between November 2010-2011. This is very close to the national average of 38% for the nation as reported by Housing IntelligencePro.  A lot of these are probably investors, but I am sure there are a good number of owner occupants as well.  Banks will tell you they are still lending but the numbers contradict this. What I do not want to happen is for people to forgo the appraisal just because they are using their own money.

I will give you a real world example. Several weeks ago I got a call from an older lady who was interested in buying a home with inheritance money. She was looking at down sizing into a smaller garden home, but did not want to take out a mortgage. This was an older lady who was in her retirement years, and for whom every dollar she had counted. Her idea was that she wanted to be sure she was paying the right price because if she was paying more then it would take away from money she could be saving and/or investing since she was no longer working.  It turned out that the home was over priced.  She used the appraisal to make a counter offer to the sellers and they accepted it.  This situation turned out well, however in the past I have seen the seller refuse the offer. In the short term this may be an inconvenience to the buyer but by looking long term it can help you make smart money decisions and make good investments.  Are you considering a cash sale? Let me know if I can help answer any questions you may have.

If you have any real estate appraisal related questions you can call me at 205.243.9304, email me, or connect with me on Facebook., Twitter, or Youtube.

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I Can Help Birmingham, AL Realtors With Their Sales Meetings

January 9th, 2012 by Tom Horn · Appraisal, Appraisal Tips, Education, FAQ's

question I Can Help Birmingham, AL Realtors With Their Sales MeetingsIf you are a Realtor in the Birmingham, AL area I would like to help you with your sales meetings by providing appraisal education to your agents. I have spoken in the past at local real estate offices about how to read an appraisal, how we come up with comparables, why we sometimes must use foreclosures as comparables and various other issues. These topics are good for new agents to know as well as those that have been in the business a long time but may still have questions. Contrary to what some believe, agents and appraisers can speak together about certain things.

I can also speak about FHA appraisals and how we look at those properties differently than a conventional purchase. By knowing what appraisers look for the agent can prepare the listing so that follow up trips can be avoided, thereby saving the buyer money and helping the loan close more quickly. HUD has certain guidelines we must follow and I can give you a heads up regarding common problems I have found doing FHA appraisals.

If you think I can help you educate your agents on various aspects of the appraisal process please give me a call, email me or text me.  I look forward to connecting with you.

If you have any real estate appraisal related questions you can call me at 205.243.9304, email me, or connect with me on Facebook., Twitter, or Youtube.

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Add Blogging To Your Real Estate Marketing Arsenal By Attending Wordcamp Birmingham

January 6th, 2012 by Tom Horn · marketing, Networking

wp yall5 Add Blogging To Your Real Estate Marketing Arsenal By Attending Wordcamp BirminghamWould you like to be the local real estate expert in your market?  Would you like to be the person everyone finds online when they do a google search for people in your profession? Both of these things are possible if you learn how to operate a successful real estate blog. I am a real estate appraiser in the Birmingham, Alabama area and have been blogging for almost two years now. I can  honestly say that blogging has helped me meet people I may not have if I had not been blogging.

I believe in blogging so much that I wanted to let you know about a local event occurring on January 14th-15th, 2012 in Birmingham, Alabama.  It is Wordcamp Birmingham and takes place at the BJCC.  You can find out everything about it here.  I wrote about my first Wordcamp experience in 2010, which you can read here, and plan on attending again this year.  If you have any questions or if I can help you out in any way let me know, I would like to connect with you.  Oh yeah, here is a tip: Join the Alabama Social Media Association (for free) and get a discount on your tickets to Wordcamp Birmingham!

If you have any real estate appraisal related questions you can call me at 205.243.9304, email me, or connect with me on Facebook., Twitter, or Youtube.

 

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A Look At The Absorption Rate In Pelham, Alabama, Ballantrae Subdivision-Pt. 2

January 4th, 2012 by Tom Horn · Appraisal, Market Trends

We took a look at the entire Pelham, Alabama market with the last blog post I wrote.  Today we are going to narrow things down a bit to the subdivision level and even a certain style of home.  Of the 222 sales that occurred in Pelham, AL from 12/15/2010 to 12/15/2011, 59 sales occurred in the Ballantrae subdivision.  I have written about Ballantrae in the past because even with the downturn in the market there is still some new construction occurring here.  The neighborhood offers a variety of home prices and styles and many of the homes are located on the golf course.Ballantrae Golf Club 1024x771 A Look At The Absorption Rate In Pelham, Alabama, Ballantrae Subdivision Pt. 2

By narrowing the search criteria down even more you can see that there is a relatively strong market for garden style slab homes ranging in price from $171,450 to $310,000.  This type of home accounted for 46 sales, of which 8 were either short sales or foreclosures.  That is approximately 17.4% of total slab home sales within Ballantrae in the past year, well below the overall Birmingham average of 30-40%.  At the time of this writing the Birmingham Multiple Listing Service indicated that there were 15 listings of similar slab homes for sale.  We can look at these figures and calculate what the absorption rate is for slab homes within the Ballantrae subdivision.

Active + Pending = 15 homes (current inventory)
46 sales / 12 months = 3.83 homes sold per month (rate of sales over last 12 months)
15 / 3.83  = 3.90 months of inventory

This is quite a bit less than the 8.7 months of inventory that we calculated for the entire city of Pelham and shows you that it is important to segment the market when looking at sales and listing statistics.  With 3.9 months of inventory the market for slab homes in Ballantrae is on the edge between being balanced and a sellers market.  This would be important information to consider when determining an asking price.  It would help a seller understand what type of market there was for homes similar to theirs. Take a look at the video below to find out how knowing the absorption rate can help you.

Do you have a question about another area of Pelham that I could help you with?

If you have any real estate appraisal related questions you can call me at 205.243.9304, email me, or connect with me on Facebook., Twitter, or Youtube.

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A Look At The Absorption Rate In Pelham, Alabama, Pt. 1

January 2nd, 2012 by Tom Horn · Appraisal, Market Trends

You may have heard the term “Absorptions Rate” before but not really know what it means.  The absorption rate is a measure of  how long it will take to sell the current inventory of homes in a given market.  This market can be on a large scale such as for the entire country, or it can also be calculated on a state, county, city or even on a neighborhood level.  In addition, specific property types or house styles may have a different absorption rate. By calculating the absorption rate you can determine what type of market you are in.  You can determine if the market is oversupplied, under supplied, or in balance.chart A Look At The Absorption Rate In Pelham, Alabama, Pt. 1

Absorption rate is calculated by taking the number of homes that are currently listed for sale, and under contract, and dividing it by the rate of sales for a given period.  This figure will tell you how many months of inventory there currently is.  Different areas vary but anywhere from 4-6 months is considered a balanced market.  Anything less than this would be a sellers market because there is not enough inventory to satisfy demand and anything more than 7 months would be a buyers market because there is too much inventory.  As we learned in basic economics, when there is an over supply prices tend to decrease.

Today I wanted to share with you my findings for the Pelham, Alabama area.  Remember that submarkets of Pelham, such as individual subdivisions, can and will vary from what we are looking at today, but the method of calculating it is the same.  The Birmingham Association of Realtors shows that as of the writing of this article there are 161 conventional single family homes (not including townhouses, manufactured, or condos) for sale.  From December 15, 2010 to December 15, 2011 there were 222 homes sold.  I am using December 15 as my date of reference to make sure that the sales figures have been entered.  If I would have used today’s date, some sales may have been left out because they were not recorded.  The method of calculation would be as follows:

Active + Pending = 161 homes (current inventory)
222 sales / 12 months = 18.5 homes sold per month (rate of sales over last 12 months)
161 / 18.5 = 8.70 months of inventory

As you can see, Pelham as a city, is experiencing an oversupply of homes because if no more homes are added to the inventory it will take approximately 9 months to sell every one of them.  As noted previously, anything over 6-7 months is considered an oversupply.  Appraisers consider this statistic when looking a the supply and demand in an area, especially if the appraisal is being performed to set an asking price.  If there is an oversupply then it would be logical to price it lower to compete with the other homes.  If there is a shortage of homes on the market then the seller has more leverage when asking a higher price.

Of course there are other things to consider when determining a markets condition.  Things such as specific property features, condition, location, and price will determine how long it takes to sell a home.  Do you know what the “Absorption Rate” is for your subdivision or neighborhood?  If you need help determining a selling price for your property give me a call I would like to speak with you.  Next post I will narrow our analysis down to the subdivision level and look at one subdivision in Pelham that has shown strong sales in 2011.

If you have any real estate appraisal related questions you can call me at 205.243.9304, email me, or connect with me on Facebook., Twitter, or Youtube.

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